Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.313268 0.364835 0.422366 0.491338 0.571831 0.662866 0.773735
2025-02-02 0.240469 0.310762 0.397792 0.513627 0.664049 0.853193 1.109777
2025-02-09 0.200070 0.277568 0.380590 0.527901 0.733786 1.012314 1.419481
2025-02-16 0.169983 0.249813 0.362251 0.532705 0.785680 1.149043 1.713888
2025-02-23 0.145623 0.224892 0.342240 0.529351 0.821861 1.264410 1.990100
2025-03-02 0.123898 0.199938 0.317590 0.513802 0.835069 1.344178 2.219875
2025-03-09 0.112904 0.189728 0.313530 0.528748 0.896555 1.504992 2.599037
2025-03-16 0.101310 0.176690 0.302794 0.530542 0.935432 1.632278 2.937787
2025-03-23 0.092941 0.167833 0.297589 0.540484 0.988620 1.789203 3.348246
2025-03-30 0.082728 0.154294 0.282390 0.530305 1.003785 1.879582 3.647898
2025-04-06 0.074695 0.143647 0.270934 0.525218 1.027100 1.986708 3.992295
2025-04-13 0.068565 0.135777 0.263570 0.526734 1.062778 2.120828 4.406770
2025-04-20 0.065777 0.134209 0.268312 0.553184 1.152500 2.374668 5.106779
2025-04-27 0.062921 0.132171 0.271919 0.577908 1.242257 2.640900 5.873543
2025-05-04 0.059461 0.128413 0.271510 0.594019 1.315648 2.881900 6.619492
2025-05-11 0.055378 0.122797 0.266498 0.599438 1.366170 3.079583 7.295557
2025-05-18 0.050963 0.115896 0.257880 0.595655 1.395293 3.232962 7.889761
2025-05-25 0.045977 0.107098 0.244036 0.578118 1.390112 3.306712 8.302155
2025-06-01 0.043958 0.104901 0.244824 0.594974 1.468942 3.588275 9.271656
2025-06-08 0.041113 0.100402 0.239742 0.596998 1.511648 3.787675 10.060061
2025-06-15 0.039092 0.097649 0.238463 0.608211 1.578796 4.056220 11.069712
2025-06-22 0.035931 0.091692 0.228717 0.596730 1.585895 4.172337 11.683723
2025-06-29 0.033376 0.086978 0.221527 0.590994 1.607445 4.329035 12.434189